Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Alan Welch

Team: Albany BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

798

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

27

Matches Played

9

Wins

18

Losses

33%

Win Rate

8.2

Avg Win Margin

6.4

Avg Loss Margin

4-12

Home Record

5-6

Away Record

16%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/28/2026

Only 13 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player8/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 27 matches

+10 Rising
17 May28 Jun18 May13 Jun24 Aug13 Aug28 May-13712
Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
46%
score-0.08→contribution-0.03
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.6
score+0.40→contribution+0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
46%
score-0.08→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
884
score-0.21→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.024
Sample Size Confidence
16%(13/33 matches)
Rating990 → shrunk 998→ adjusted 798
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)798
Recency Blend17% (13 recent matches)
Final Rating798
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

9W18L27 matches·33.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Albany B2016–2026Division C, Division B2791833.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/28/2026Nick Lang-yatesA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/3/2025David BaileyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/17/2025June BuckleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025John RoachH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/13/2024Colin BensonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
7/3/2024vs Pensby CA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
5/28/2024Kieron FoulkesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Malcolm GilfoyleH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/24/2023George SaxtonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/27/2023Mark JonesA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/6/2023Alan MathewsH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/28/2023vs Pensby CA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/13/2023Thomas PughH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
5/9/2019Roy BrannonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
6/26/2018Carl AshworthA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
5/25/2017Dave CamplinH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
5/18/2017Tania GilfoyleA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/14/2016George DugganH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/5/2016Maureen PercivalH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
6/29/2016vs Oxton Cons CA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/28/2016Peter CowanH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016John KeeganA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/7/2016Denise CapperH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016Peter SteeleH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Lewis BullenA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
5/12/2016Steve JonesH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/11/2016vs Pensby CA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy7 games · 3W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundIan Sharp / Martin SmallLever Club8-15LOSSLOST
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAndrew Parnell / Clifford ParnellThingwall B15-10WINWON
Round of 16 RoundFred Bolton / Derek MycockPensby B15-14WINLOST
20222 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMark Houghton / Elliot PotterParkfield15-12WINLOST
Round of 16 RoundGary Donaldson / Graham WrightAlbany9-15LOSSLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundMavis Camplin / Jean TaggartPensby C12-15LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundDanny Barwise / Dave McdermottTixall5-15LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup3 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundBrian LawrenceOxton Cons13-21LOSSLOST
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundCliff UptonTixall C20-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundPaul DiamondLever Club13-21LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundGeorge MasonSea Dog19-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
WLLLWWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Pensby C21366.7%7/3/2024
Nick Lang-yates101100%5/28/2026
David Bailey0110%7/3/2025
June Buckley0110%6/17/2025
John Roach0110%6/10/2025
Colin Benson101100%8/13/2024
Kieron Foulkes101100%5/28/2024
Malcolm Gilfoyle0110%5/7/2024
George Saxton0110%8/24/2023
Mark Jones101100%7/27/2023
Biggest Win
Lewis Bullen (+13)5/17/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Roy Brannon (-15)5/9/2019
Best Season
201620% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201620% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
23% → 43%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
86219 known · 8 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-1135% win rate

By Division

Division C9-16 (36%)
Division B0-2 (0%)
Division B0%
0W·2L·2 played
Division C36%
9W·16L·25 played

Debut

May 11, 2016

Latest

May 28, 2026

Seasons Active

8 (10.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

3.4 (27 total)

Seasons

20162017201820192023202420252026